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Re: "2M today, 10M with no change in technology"? An informal survey.
From: Deepak Jain <deepak(at)ai.net>
Date: Thu Aug 30 2007 - 14:10:03 EDT bmanning@vacation.karoshi.com wrote: > On Wed, Aug 29, 2007 at 06:48:43PM -0400, Jon Lewis wrote: >> On Mon, 27 Aug 2007, David Conrad wrote: >> >>> For a few more months. What are upgrade cycles like again? How common >>> are the MSFC2s? >> I think we'll find out in a few months, when the "internet breaks" in a >> whole bunch of places where the admins aren't aware of this issue or >> operations have been downsized to the point that things are mostly on >> auto-pilot. I'm guessing there are a good number of Sup2's in use, and >> that a good % of them think they're fine...as they have 512MB RAM and on >> the software based routers, that's plenty for current full BGP routes. > > private replies suggest (w/ lots of handwaving) that perhaps 20-35% > of the forwarding engines in use might fit this catagory. > >> Anyone want to bet there will be people posting to nanog and cisco-nsp in >> a few months asking why either the CPU load on their Sup2's has suddenly >> shot up or why they keep noticing parts of the internet have gone >> unreachable?...oblivious to this thread. > > that would be a sucker bet > If Cisco could ship enough units when asked, I'd say their next couple of quarters are in the bag... but since they have such huge lead times..... well, I am guessing a lot of people will start considering taking partial routes. Transit providers would do well to have a distribute-list or similar configured to offer these guys when they call rather than trying to engineer something on an ICB basis. Deepak Received on Thu Aug 30 14:13:46 2007 This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.8 : Mon Oct 29 2007 - 14:04:58 EDT |
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